Reproducibility Crisis and Open Research

In scholarship, there’s been increasing conversation over the past decade about a ‘Reproducibility crisis.’ Empirical findings in notable research papers have not been able to be replicated in follow-up studies. In one telling 2008 study from the Reproducibility Project, only 39 out of 100 studies published in prominent psychology journals were successfully replicated.

Way back in 2005, John Ioannidis published a prescient article titled ‘Why Most Published Research Findings Are False.’ He summarised his findings as follows:

Simulations show that for most study designs and settings, it is more likely for a research claim to be false than true. Moreover, for many current scientific fields, claimed research findings may often be simply accurate measures of the prevailing bias.

Sadly, the situation seems even worse nearly two decades later. Just today, Retraction Watch have reported on a record number of over 200 retractions from one researcher, relaying that: “Joachim Boldt, has now been credited with 210 retractions – making him the first author (to our knowledge) with more than 200 retractions to his name.” His papers have been retracted on the basis of “suspicious data.”

What can be done? Naturally on this blog, we advocate adopting Open Research Practices. As we concluded in our previous post about Ethics in Research, ‘Essentially, good practice in Open Research amounts to communicating findings accurately and honestly and properly acknowledging the works of others.’ Open Research is a necessary counterbalance to the reproducibility crisis. On our UWL webpages, we’ve listed 7 Open Research Steps that should help keep your works open, transparent and reproducible, thereby enhancing academic credibility. They’re condensed slightly below but check out the webpage linked above for further links and resources:

  1. ‘Pre-register’ your finalised research design, either by uploading it to the UWL repository or elsewhere. Consider publishing your finalised design as a ‘registered report’ in a relevant journal. Journals which will accept Registered Reports will agree to publish a final paper, with ‘significant’ outcomes or not, if you follow the plan.
  2. Complete a Data Management Plan which includes how you are going to make your data sets available through a data repository, confidentiality permitting.
  3. Make sure your datasets are structured and labelled so that they are ‘Findable, Accessible, Interoperable and Reuseable’.
  4. Structure your papers so that titles and abstracts are illuminating, and keywords are prominent thereby making your paper easily discoverable through databases.
  5. Consider uploading a pre-print (a paper yet to be peer-reviewed) to a pre-print server and asking for feedback.
  6. Make sure your published papers are open access either through the UWL repository or through the expanding opportunities to make your paper open ‘in situ’ in the journal’s own website.
  7. Engage with Open Peer Review and teach Open Research practices if you are a teacher or research supervisor.

 

UKSG annual Conference 8th-10th April 2024

This year, UKSG’s annual conference in Glasgow was heavily focused around issues to do with open research. There were three key open research-based themes that produced some interesting discussion points during the various talks and workshop sessions over the three day conference; Research Integrity, Transitional Agreements, and Predatory Publishing. For this post, I’ve collated 3 essential insights gathered under each of the headings to keep it short and to-the-point!

 

Research Integrity

  • Now more than ever, there’s a need to develop and implement relevant procedures and policies, and to start developing and delivering training around issues related to potential breaches of integrity.
  • This is related to the incredible growth in retractions over the past two decades; from 40 retractions recorded in the year 2000 to over 13,000 in 2023.  The total number of retractions has been surpassed each year since they began to be recorded.
  • It’s crucial for academics to have good quality data sources as a counterbalance to pressures that break research integrity; the pressures of the evaluation system; challenges in the peer review landscape and the aims of nefarious external actors.

Transformative agreements

  • Overall good news on the Transformative agreement front from JISC! The 2022 Jisc Transformtive agreements (excluding Springer Nature) have delivered actual cost savings of £16.7m to subscribing institutions in the first year of the agreement when compared to expenditure in the preceding year.
  • As an early adopter of transitional agreements, the UK appears to be transitioning to open access more effectively than the global average. In 2022, the number of UK open access articles was 4% higher than the global average (UK: 50%; global 46%).
  • There has been a steady decline in the number of UK Green-only articles – around 4% over each of the last four years. This is a more exaggerated version of the global trend.

Predatory Publishers

  • There was an interesting talk from the head of the quality team at the Directory of Open Access Journals, Dr. Cenyu Shen, who works to prevent DOAJ from having questionable journals indexed. It’s no mean feat, they have over 2000 journals on there. Last year, they ran 409 investigations which took around 800-man hours, surpassing any of the past years records.
  • Presentations and discussions advocated for more nuance in thinking about issues to do with predatory publishers. It’s better to think of publishers as being on a kind of ‘predation spectrum’ as opposed to a binary ‘predatory-or-not’ understanding. to put this into context, issues can range from a small slip in editorial processing standards to purposely falsifying impact factor scores.
  • One question persists: Should citations be such a coin of the realm? There was no doubt that the mounting pressures of ‘publish or perish’ culture is largely to blame for the rise of (increasingly sophisticated) predatory publishers.